27 November 2011

Round up of NZ electorates, electorate and party votes

Electorates below with my recommendations highlighted, as you can see I didn't get what I wanted by and large :)

Auckland Central - 107 for ACT's David Seymour.  Sad he didn't beat the Conservative candidate, and ACT's vote collapsed in this seat.  Notable that Nikki Kaye's personal vote is better than National's party vote and Green voters couldn't stomach voting for Jacinda Ardern.  Men were all the bottom candidates in Auckland Central.  Greens did almost as well as Labour in the party vote here. NZ First outdid ACT here, who knew?  National solid on party vote though.  Labour will be disappointed here.

Bay of Plenty - Tony Ryall romps in.  I said spoil your ballot or abstain, 843 of you did for electorate votes, beating Mana and United Future.  NZ First came a close third in party vote, 200 behind Labour.  National country through and through and no surprise.

Botany - Incumbent Jami-Lee Ross romps in.  Conservatives third on electorate vote with Paul Young, but not well on party vote. ACT's Lyn Murphy well behind and poor ACT result.  Again NZ First third in party vote, but Nats miles ahead of Labour.  Never really going to be any other way.

Christchurch Central - Dead heat - ACT's Toni Severin denies this seat from the Nats on the night.  National well ahead on party vote.  Labour will wonder what went wrong.  

Christchurch East - Lianne Dalziel is safe here.  ALCP's Michael Britnell scored 208 votes.  Yet National is thousands ahead of Labour on the party vote.  Labour's remaining Christchurch stronghold.

Clutha-Southland - Bill English owns this seat with over two thirds of the vote.  ACT's Don Nicolson in fourth on 748 is miles out.  National's party vote nearly matches this, but Greens have surprisingly strong third place following.  Never really in doubt.

Coromandel - National's Scott Simpson romps in with a big majority, whilst Labour's Hugh Keninmouth has Catherine Delahunty right up against him in 2nd and 3rd respectively.  Jay Fitton ALCP got 400 votes.  National far ahead on party vote too, but NZ First beats the Greens on party vote.  Greens must wonder what they lost since the days Jeanette Fitzsimons had this seat.

Dunedin North - Labour's David Clark is comfortably elected as part of the new intake. Nats 2nd, Metiria Turei a strong third.  ACT's Guy McCallum last on 133.  Labour actually won the party vote here by around 600 votes, with Greens a very strong third.   Labour expected to win here.

Dunedin South - Labour's Clare Curran is safe here, sadly National's Joanne Hayes was nearly 3,900 behind.  Yet National was 1,500 ahead on the party vote, with NZ First a strong fourth.  Labour also expected to hold this.

East Coast - Ann Tolley is comfortable here with a majority of over 4,000, even if the Green votes had gone to Moana Mackey, it wouldn't have been enough.  ACT's John Norvill got only 135 votes.  National has more than double Labour's party vote, while NZ First is not far behind the Greens.  Labour would have hoped to make inroads, but looks fanciful now.

East Coast Bays - Murray McCully has an almost 2-1 lead over all others combined. 836 of you were informal electorate votes.  National's party vote matches that of McCully.  Conservative Party came a strong fifth place here.  National heartland, anyone here remember Gary Knapp?

Epsom - John Banks has this one with enough of a majority you wonder about the fuss in the media, it is clear that Labour and Green voters could have taken it from him had they voted National.  Yet they couldn't bring themselves to do that.  Mad bint Penny Bright has 106 followers!  363 were informal electorate votes.  National's party vote is dominant with almost two-thirds, but the Greens are a close third behind Labour, yet John Banks so uninspired ACT party votes that it was behind New Zealand First in a seat where ACT used to come third.  John Key relieved.  

Hamilton East - National's David Bennett has a 7000+ majority.  ACT's Garry Mallett got 208 votes.  Party vote is National's as well.  Greens a reasonable third.  Labour once would have hoped to win this.  

Hamilton West - National's Tim Macindoe has a 4000 or so majority, with NZ First's Bill Gudgeon (former MP) coming third.  Independent Tim Wikiriwhi got 101 votes, second to last.  National's party vote was well ahead of the others, with Greens and NZ First in close running in 3rd and 4th.  Labour wanted to do well here.  

Helensville - John Key has more than two-thirds of the vote here.  ACT's Nick Kearney got 161 votes. National's party vote was nearly as good as his electorate vote, with Labour, Greens and NZ First very far behind.  Never in doubt.

Hunua - National's Paul Hutchison also grabs about two-thirds of the vote.  ACT's Ian Cummings has a not bad 398 votes, and is 2 places short of being last.  Party vote again is National's, but NZ First is in third place ahead of the Greens.  Also never in doubt.

Hutt South - Trevor Mallard keeps his seat with a good margin of 4000.  ACT's Alex Speirs only gets 157 votes.  Green's Holly Walker a credible third.  Yet again,  National ahead on party vote by nearly 2,000.  Greens a strong third and NZ First a reasonable fourth.   Labour heartland but the Nats hoped to make some inroads. 

Ilam - Gerry Brownlee has a whopping majority of nearly 12,000.   Labour's John Parsons a distant second, even the strong vote for the Green Kennedy Graham would only have halved that gap had Parsons got it.  National's party vote is equally strong, with the Greens in third (yet more electorate than party votes) and  NZ First fourth.  Never really in doubt.

Invercargill - Eric Roy has a nearly 6,000 vote majority here against soporific Soper.  Libertarianz's Shane Pleasance gains a credible 122 votes.  National only gets half of the party vote here, but Labour is well behind as the Greens and NZ First have half Labour's vote again.  Once Labour country, but looks distant now.

Kaikoura - National's Colin King has an over 10,000 majority here, with the Greens in as strong third place on electorate vote. Libertarianz's Ian Hayes gained 115 votes.  National's party vote is equally strong, well ahead of Labour, which has the Greens on a strong third, followed by New Zealand First.  Once was tighter, but again looks distant now.

Mana - Labour's Kris Faafoi managed to hang on fairly comfortably with a majority of around 1,800 over hectoring Hekia Parata.  ALCP's Richard Goode did well to get 277 votes ahead of ACT's Michael Warren on 159.  Yet National won the party vote in what ought to be solid Labour territory with a margin of around 1000 votes.  The Greens are a strong third.  Should be Labour heartland, but isn't anymore. 

Mangere - Sua Sio of Labour has easily nearly three quarters of the vote here with one of Labour's few real heartland seats left.  National's Claudette Hauiti had no chance and no other candidates got over 1000 votes.  A rare seat where Labour won the party vote by a very large margin, but NZ First is third well ahead of the Greens.  For every National party vote here, Labour got five.  Solid Labour heartland.

Manukau East - Labour's Ross Robertson also owns this seat with 3 votes to every 1 cast for all others.  National's Kanwal Bakshi was the only candidate to get over 1,000 (with over 3,000).  ACT's Jono MacFarlane got 218 votes, sadly not beating communist John Minto's 402 votes for Mana.  Minto was beaten by NZ First's Asenati Taylor here who got more than double the vote he did.  Like Mangere, Labour took most of the party vote here, with National getting 1 vote for every 3 of Labour's.  New Zealand First third in party vote with Greens a distant fourth.  Minto's personal vote beat the Mana Party vote which in this low decile electorate was trounced by the Conservative Party and only 60 more than ACT.  Also solid Labour heartland.

Manurewa - Labour's Louisa Wall has done well here with a majority of around 7,000 ahead of National's Cam Calder. ACT's David Peterson got 161 votes.  NZ First candidate John Hall came third.  Labour also won the party vote here, with over double National's vote.  New Zealand First had more than double the Green Party vote here which was markedly poor, being only a few hundred about the Conservatives.  Solidly Labour, once Roger Douglas territory ironically.

Maungakiekie - Peseta Lotu-Iiga of National has a reasonable majority of around 2700 ahead of Labour's awful Carol Beaumont, but she can't blame the Green candidate Tom Land for that, as his votes wouldn't have been enough.  National has done well to lead in the party vote here by around 2000 with the Greens and NZ First in third and fourth respectively.  Once was Mark Gosche's heartland but boundary changes and demographics have taken it off Labour.

Mt Albert - Helen Clark's old seat is David Shearer's through and through with a whopping majority of around 9,000 votes.  Melissa Lee is well behind and shouldn't stand here again.  Steven Boyle of ACT gained 362 votes.  The reason why Lee shouldn't stand?  Party vote for National was only 100 behind Labour in a core Labour seat.  Greens a strong third and NZ First fourth.  Helen Clark made this Labour country, but for how long?

Mt Roskill - Labour Leader Phil Goff has a decent majority here of over 6,000 over National's Jackie Blue.  Green candidate Julie Anne Genter a distant third.  ALCP's Jasmin Hewlett a reasonable 124 beating the United Future candidate.  However, even Phil barely saw Labour win the party vote here with only 800 votes ahead of National.  NZ First came a strong fourth here.  Labour country that is eroding away.

Napier - For a seat that was Labour through and through, National's Chris Tremain has a steady 3,300+ majority now over Stuart Nash.  Greens a distant third and ACT's John Ormond with 144 votes.  National romped in on the party vote here with more than 6,000 ahead of Labour, the Greens third, but with NZ First and Conservative Parties both doing rather well here.  Labour needs to win seats like this to get any chance of government.

Nelson - Nick Smith has a majority of around 6,600 here, which is comfortable but not like that of many of his colleagues. Labour's Maryan Street has no rivals for second place here, with Greens a distant third.  National leads by 6,000 party votes, indicating Nick Smith might have electorate votes from Green Party voters as he does better than National.  Greens are a strong third here, with NZ First fourth.   Actually Labour country, but Smith has made it his.

New Lynn - David Cunliffe manages around half of the vote here, with a majority of 4400 over National's Tim Groser.  Greens a distant third.  Yet it is party vote National here by over 1,000 votes, as the Greens have a strong third place and NZ First fourth.  Cunliffe gets electorate votes from Green and  NZ First supporters it would seem.  More marginal than it looks, but Cunliffe never really threatened.

New Plymouth - National's Jonathan Young has secured a solid 4000 strong majority here over Labour's Andrew Little.  ALCP's Jamie Dombroski gained 392 votes ahead of independent Rusty Kane.  National's party vote was more than double that of Labour, indicating this is a solid National seat now.  Greens a comfortable third, with NZ First the only other notable result.   National country as it once was, Duynhoven was Labour's bullwark here till he was pushed out before.

North Shore - National's Maggie Barry beamed in with a 13,000 plus majority, over Labour's Ben Clark and it's a disgrace that ACT couldn't give Don Brash at a higher profile for the electorate vote to beat the Green candidate Pieter Watson.  Don Brash only gained 1129 votes in fourth place, better than the party vote at only 653 in a seat where ACT has been third.  National took 2 out of 3 party votes, with Labour getting 1 vote for National's four, the Greens third, NZ First fourth and Conservatives fifth.  Yes in a seat that should be ACT heartland, ACT is more than a 100 votes behind the previously unknown Conservative Party.   National heartland.

Northcote - National's Jonathan Coleman has a good 8,500 majority here over Labour's glamour puss Paula Gillon.  Libertarianz candidate Peter Linton gained 60 votes.  National took over half of the party vote here with the Greens a strong third and NZ First fourth.  Almost as National heartland as North Shore.

Northland - National's new drug czar Mike Sabin has a majority of over 10,000 now, with Labour's Lynette Stewart far behind.  Green and Conservative candidates both did rather well.  National took half of the party vote, with nearly 3 votes for every Labour one.  Greens closely followed by NZ First in the party vote, with the Conservative Party getting half of the NZ First party vote.  National heartland as this is where non-Maori Northland votes.

Ohariu - Peter Dunne is still not down and out, with his majority having grown from 1000 to 1600 or so, it appears National voters chose him over local candidate Katrina Shanks.  Labour's Charles Chauvel nearly double the vote of National's Katrina Shanks.  However curiously, if the voters for the Green candidate Gareth Hughes had voted for Chauvel, Dunne would be gone (but if he had Shanks's votes he'd be back if we play that game).  Good friend Sean Fitzpatrick of the Libertarianz gained 96 votes.  Party vote here is National's by a margin of 8,000 over Labour.  Greens getting 4,000 less than Labour.  NZ First did surprisingly well with 1341 party votes.  United Future a distant fifth with 615 party votes narrowly beating the Conservative accent.  Dunne's personal fiefdom, but is historically National territory.

Otaki - National's Nathan Guy has a comfortable 5000 or so votes ahead of Peter Foster of Labour.  Green and NZ First candidates making a small mention. In the party vote it is solidly Nat by over 6000 votes.  NZ First strong here only a few hundred behind the Greens, with the Conservative Party making a good showing too.  ACT's Peter McCaffrey gained 99 electorate votes.  This should be a marginal, but isn't looking it anymore.

Pakuranga - Never any doubt that Maurice Williamson would romp in here with a majority of over 12000.  ACT's Chris Simmons isn't a dent with 743 votes.  Hard to believe this was once a Social Credit seat.  Party vote is National with well over half.  Greens and NZ First vying for third place here behind Labour.  A seat that was once good for ACT collapses to 539 party votes.

Palmerston North - Iain Lees-Galloway the socialist comfortably takes this for Labour with a majority of around 3000 over National's Leonie Hapeta. Yet again National wins the party vote with more than 3,000 over Labour, Greens a distant third and NZ First fourth.  National hoped to pick this up, but does a Maori woman's name sadly put some off?

Papakura - Judith Collins in here with a majority of over 9000.  Curiously obscure ex MP Brent Catchpole came third here with 1589 votes, beating the Green candidate Caroline Conroy.  ACT's John Thompson gained 195 votes.  National has well over half of the party vote here, more than 2 votes for every 1 Labour got.  NZ First a decent third here, 1,000 party votes over the Greens.  Solidly National territory where once Labour managed to do well.

Port Hills - Ruth Dyson wins comfortably here with a majority of nearly 3,000 over National's David Carter, as this seat is partly about Lyttelton.  ACT's Geoff Russell gained 152 votes.  Yet National romps in on the party vote with over 4500 more than Labour.  Very strong Green showing with 5591 party votes.  NZ First a credible f.ourth.  Labour would have hoped to win better here, but it shows the Greens have eaten in heavily into traditional Labour voting territory.

Rangitata - National's Jo Goodhew has over half the vote here with over 6,000 votes ahead of Labour's Julian Blanchard.  ACT's Tom Corbett gained 280 votes.  National rules on the party vote too, being double that of Labour. Greens and NZ First distant third and fourth.  National heartland.

Rangitikei - National's Ian McElvie took this from Simon Power easily with a majority of over 8700.  Greens third but Conservative candidate Ian Robertson achieved a credible fourth.  ACT's Hayden Fitzgerald managed 251 votes.  Again who remembers this was once Social Credit country, it seems 26 do who voted Democrats for Social Credit.  National heartland.

Rimutaka - Labour's Chris Hipkins hangs on comfortably here with a majority of just over 3000.  ACT's Alwyn Courtenay gained 221 votes.  Yet National won on party votes nearly 4000 ahead of Labour, indicating Hipkins wins National voters over (oddly).  Greens third and NZ First fourth.  Should be Labour territory, but is almost marginal.

Rodney - Lockwood Smith's majority effectively handed over most of it to Mark Mitchell of National with just over 11000 as the majority.  However, the majority is not over Labour, but Conservative leader Colin Craig who won a staggering 7569 votes.  Surely a target for Conservatives next time, and perhaps the next Epsom?  Will John Key consider whether a deal might be done here?  Beth Houlbrooke of ACT gained 180 votes.  You can guess the party vote, National gained five times the vote of Labour. However, while Labour got 4639 party votes, it is followed by Greens on 2847, NZ First on 2492 and Conservatives on 2308.   This remains National heartland, but is top contender for the Conservative Party to focus efforts on breaking into Parliament, but it would be hard effort to make up an 11,000 vote gap against an ex. cop!

Rongotai - Annette King is very safe here with a majority of around 8,000 votes.  Think of the old Island Bay seat which was safe Labour merged with Miramar which was typically marginal.  Russel Norman did well to get nearly 6,000 votes here.  ACT's Joel Latimir gained 141 votes.  Still Labour only barely scrapes above National in the party vote, with a gap of just over 160 votes.  The Greens have a huge 7,300 votes and NZ First fourth.  Should be safe Labour, and loyalty to Annette is what keeps it that way for the electorate vote.

Rotorua - Todd McClay has a majority of nearly 6900 over Steve Chadwick, with NZ First candidate Fletcher Tabuteau a strong third.  784 informal electorate votes. Party vote was almost 50% for National, but with Labour well behind and New Zealand First in third with 3123 ahead of the Greens fourth on 2391.  This ought to be a more marginal seat, but Labour needs to stop recycling Steve Chadwick to have a chance here.

Selwyn - Amy Adams has a massive majority of nearly 18000 here take 2 out of 3 votes.  Labour's Jo McLean couldn't even get 1 vote for every 5 of Adams, but the Green candidate Eugenie Sage was on her toes 1700 votes behind.  Party vote solidly National too, almost as good as electorate vote.  Labour gaining 1 for ever 4 cast for National.  Greens a strong 3690 and New Zealand First in third.   National heartland, once Ruth Richardson country.

Tamaki - Simon O'Connor has wrapped this up with a majority of over 16000 again taking 2 out of 3 votes. Independent Stephen Berry gained 139 votes. National's party vote was almost as much, 4x that of Labour, with the Greens getting half that of Labour and New Zealand First half that of the Greens.  Rob Muldoon's former seat with different boundaries, he'd be happy with that result.  Safe National territory.

Taranaki-King Country - National's Shane Ardern with a 14000 vote majority commanding this seat.  Labour's Rick Barker without a show in hell of getting this.  Party vote about as commanding.  National has 4x the Labour vote.  The Greens half that of Labour, but New Zealand First only a couple of hundred behind Greens.  Once an ACT stronghold but now pathetically getting 427 votes.  Solid National country, which was once Jim Bolger's seat in another form.

Taupo - National's Louise Upston carries a 13,000 majority here over Labour, Greens a distant third a few votes behind NZ First ex. MP Edwin Perry.  Roseanne Jollands of ACT gained 168 votes. Well over half of the party vote to National, but NZ First is third here with 350 votes ahead of the Greens.  Conservative Party gets over 1000 here too.  Solidly National.

Tauranga - No real threat to National's Simon Bridges with a majority of around 15,800, but that's a majority over New Zealand First's Brendan Horan who is inheriting Winston voters (some of whom may see NZ First and assume its Winston) and his former viewing enthusiasts. He's more than 100 ahead of Labour's Deborah Mahuta-Coyle.  Greens in fourth with half the Labour vote, and ex. United Future MP Larry Baldcock with 1405.  More than half the party vote to National, but this is Winston country.  NZ First came second with less than 1 vote for every 3 of National.  Labour is a couple of hundred behind.  Greens in fourth with 2000 less than Labour and the Conservatives half that of the Greens.  It ought to be National's but Winston Peters casts a long shadow and still a big influence.

Te Atatu - Labour's Phil Twyford romped in here with a majority of over 4600 against National's Tau Henare.  Others were hardly in the race.  Yet again National won the party vote with over 1000 more than Labour.  New Zealand First third here with 11 votes more than the Greens.  Phil Twyford gets 4000 more votes than his party here, but you'd expect this to be a Labour seat.

Tukituki - Craig Foss is 9000 ahead of Labour here, with a minor showing for Green and Conservative candidates.  Romana Manning of ALCP did well to beat ACT's Robert Burnside with 312 votes over 235.  National gets slightly over half the party vote and Labour with less than half that of National's.  Greens a fairly strong third with around 3000 votes followed by NZ First.  Again safe National country here even though it includes Hastings.

Waikato - National's Lindsay Tisch is in command with nearly 13000 votes ahead of Labour's promising Kate Sutton.  ACT's Robin Boom gained 289 votes.  National had well over half of the party vote, more than 4x that of Labour, but with NZ First only 2000 votes behind.   Greens fourth and Conservatives fifth.   Solid National territory.

Waimakariri - National's Kate Wilkinson barely slips past Labour's Clayton Cosgrove in a seat where the Green candidate had over 1000 votes in third.  National again got more than half of the party vote here, more than twice that of Labour with Greens in third.  This ought to be Labour country, but this is lost and Labour unlikely to get a candidate again like Cosgrove to pick up this missed seat.

Wairarapa - Nearly 6700 majority for National's John Hayes ahead of Labour's Michael Bott with respectable showings for Green and Conservative candidates.  Best Libertarianz candidate result with leader Dr. Richard McGrath getting 621 votes.  Over half of the party vote went National, more than double that of Labour with Greens third followed closely by NZ First.  Should be marginal when things are tighter.

Waitakere - National's Paula Bennett just barely held this with 349 on the night, over Labour's Carmel Sepuloni - so it will be one for the specials.  Yet here is where strategic voting fails, with the Green candidate having 1582 votes.  Sue Bradford came second last with only 266 votes only beating Libertarianz candidate Peter Osborne on 48. National led on the party vote but only 1300 ahead of Labour. Greens 2796 and NZ First fourth on 1811.  Labour should have had this in the bag, but no.

Waitaki - Jacqui Dean has two thirds of the electorate vote ahead of Labour's Barry Monks. Colin Nicholls of ACT got 182 votes.   National commands on the party vote with a clear majority and over 2.5 x of the vote. Greens with 4000 or so. Should be solid National country.

Wellington Central - Labour's Grant Robertson has this seat comfortably with a majority of over 5000 over National's Paul Foster-Bell.  Green James Shaw had 3821 a drop since Sue Kedgley retired.  Libertarianz candidate Reagan Cutting gained 53 votes.  Yet National was well ahead on party vote, 50% more than Labour, but the Greens are 12 votes behind Labour.  Will the Greens beat Labour here after specials?  NZ First a distant fourth, but remember when ACT held this seat?  This should be a National seat in the current environment, but National needs a better candidate here.  

West Coast-Tasman - Labour's Damien O'Connor provides a rare win for Labour with a credible majority of over 2200.  Steven Wilkinson of ALCP got 395 votes.  Yet this is also party vote National territory with nearly 6000 votes more than Labour. Greens a credible 4000 or so.  This ought to be heartland Labour, it's a sign of how out of touch with provincial NZ Labour is.

Whanganui - Chester Borrows has a reasonable majority of around 4800 over Labour, which seems a distant second.  Alan Davidson of ACT gained 141 votes.  National leads with party vote, 6000 ahead of Labour. NZ First is third here with 2879 a couple of hundred ahead of the Greens.  This ought to be one of the closer races, but needs a fair effort for Labour to make inroads.

Whangarei - Phil Heatley has an over 11600 majority here in John Banks's old seat (in a way), Greens a distant third.  Libertarianz candidate Helen Hughes gained 93 votes.  Just over half the party vote went to National, with nearly 10,000 votes ahead of Labour, which itself has nearly double the vote of the Greens. NZ First being just behind the Greens.   Should be a National stronghold.

Wigram - Labour's Megan Wood takes Jim Anderton's old seat with a modest 1500 vote majority over National's Sam Collins.  Alliance's Kevin Campbell has the best result for the bottom ranked party coming fourth, probably because Jim Anderton has some lost followers.  Geoff McTague of ALCP gained 269 votes.  Yet National led here in party vote too, 4000 votes ahead of Labour, with Greens a distant third.  Ought to be fairly safe Labour, still some work to be done for that.

Hauraki- Waikato - Princess Mahuta safe as can be here with over 5300 votes, but it was Mana's Angeline Greensill who she beat, with Labour's candidate 800 behind her.  Yet while Labour won the party vote here, the parties that are 2nd to 6th are within a range of 600 votes in the following order.  Maori, Mana, NZ First, Green and National.  Obviously Labour's safe territory, but the Greens have broken in on party vote here, something they never managed to do.

Ikaroa-Rawhiti - Parekura Horomia  is safe here with a majority of over 5900 over the Maori Party candidate.  Again Labour commands the party vote, with 5500 over the Maori Party, Mana 3rd with 900 less than the Maori Party and the Greens almost as much as Mana.  Again safe Labour territory.

Tamaki-Makaurau - Pita Sharples just scraped in here with a majority of over 700 over Shane Jones.  Labour led the party vote, with the Maori Party with half that of Labour, yet Mana is only 170 or so votes behind.  NZ First in fourth.   Maori Party loyalty based on Sharples, but this is still Labour's seat in the long run.

Te Tai Hauauru - Tariana Turia  is safe here with a majority of 2760 over Labour's Soraya Peke Mason.  Labour well ahead on party vote, with Maori Party on half the vote of Labour and the Greens curiously third.  Again this vote is about Tariana, but the Greens will be very pleased to have come third here.

Te Tai Tokerau - Hone Harawira slipped in with a majority of 874 over Labour's Kelvin Davis.  However while Labour led the party vote, Mana came a strong second only 1700 votes behind with Maori Party a distant third.  Hone's territory for now, but not insurmountable.

Te Tai Tonga - Labour's Rino Tirikatene beaten Maori Party's Rahui Katene with a comfortable 1445 votes.  Labour led in party vote, but the Greens came second with half of the Labour vote, and National in third.  Maori Party and Mana both behind National.  Not like the other Maori seats at all, are Maori and Mana too North Island?

Waiariki - Maori Party's Te Ururoa Flavell comfortably beat Annette Sykes by 1820, with Labour a distant third with Louis Te Kani.  Labour led the party vote, but Maori second with 2200 less, closely followed by Mana.  Definitely not a Labour stronghold anymore.

Libz overall party votes

Top results Wairarapa and Ohariu, well done Richard McGrath Leader and Sean Fitzpatrick Deputy Leader.  To be the biggest psephological nerd in the country look below.  Don't laugh

Auckland Central - 23 ahead of Alliance and Socred, but down on 27 in 2008
Bay of Plenty - 23 ahead of Alliance and Socred, but down on 25 in 2008
Botany - 13 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 10 in 2008
Christchurch Central - 18 ahead of Socred, down from 21 in 2008
Christchurch East -  16, up from 14 in 2008
Clutha-Southland - 23 ahead of Alliance, up from 16 in 2008
Coromandel - 18 ahead of Alliance, up from 13 in 2008
Dunedin North - 18, up from 9 in 2008
Dunedin South - 14, down from 15 in 2008
East Coast - 9 ahead of Alliance, down from 13 in 2008
East Coast Bays - 21 ahead of Alliance and Socred, down from 25 in 2008
Epsom - 29 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 19 in 2008
Hamilton East - 22 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 21 in 2008
Hamilton West - 26 ahead of Alliance, down from 31 in 2008
Helensville - 16 ahead of Alliance and Socred, down from 21 in 2008
Hunua - 23 ahead of Alliance, up from 10 in 2008
Hutt South - 19 ahead of Socred, down from 36 in 2008
Ilam - 26 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 21 in 2008
Invercargill - 32 ahead of Alliance, up from 21 in 2008
Kaikoura - 22 ahead of Alliance, up from 6 in 2008
Mana - 17 ahead of Alliance and Socred, same as 2008
Mangere - 3 ahead of Socred, down from 6 in 2008
Manukau East - 7, up from 6 in 2008
Manurewa - 13 ahead of Socred, up from 7 in 2008
Maungakiekie - 24 ahead of Socred and Alliance, down from 30 in 2008
Mt Albert - 23 ahead of Socred and Alliance, up from 16 in 2008
Mt Roskill - 11 ahead of Socred and Alliance, up from 8 in 2008
Napier - 14 ahead of Socred, same as 2008
Nelson - 17 ahead of Alliance, up from 12 in 2008
New Lynn - 21 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 14 in 2008
New Plymouth - 29 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 27 in 2008
North Shore - 31 ahead of Alliance and Socred, down from 33 in 2008
Northcote - 32 ahead of Alliance and Socred, down from 37 in 2008
Northland - 23 ahead of Alliance, down from 25 in 2008
Ohariu - 45 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 20 in 2008
Otaki - 17 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 12 in 2008
Pakuranga - 8 ahead of Socred, down from 13 in 2008
Palmerston North - 17 ahead of Socred, up from 16 in 2008
Papakura - 21 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 8 in 2008
Port Hills - 16, down from 17 in 2008
Rangitata - 19 ahead of Socred, up from 8 in 2008
Rangitikei - 19 ahead of Alliance, down from 22 in 2008
Rimutaka - 22 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 13 in 2008
Rodney - 14 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 11 in 2008
Rongotai - 26 ahead of Alliance and Socred, down from 34 in 2008
Rotorua - 16 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 15 in 2008
Selwyn - 9, up from 8 in 2008
Tamaki - 22 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 20 in 2008
Taranaki- King Country- 19, up from 16 in 2008
Taupo - 20 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 13 in 2008
Tauranga - 17 ahead of Alliance, down from 21 in 2008
Te Atatu - 12, up from 8 in 2008
Tukituki - 18 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 10 in 2008
Waikato - 26 ahead of Alliance, up from 15 in 2008
Waimakariri - 11, up from 7 in 2008
Wairarapa - 85 ahead of Alliance, Socred and Mana, up from 61 in 2008
Waitakere - 27 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 14 in 2008
Waitaki - 25 ahead of Alliance, up from 15 in 2008
Wellington Central - 31 ahead of Alliance and Socred, down from 48 in 2008
West Coast-Tasman - 25 ahead of Alliance, up from 20 in 2008
Whanganui - 21 ahead of Alliance, up from 18 in 2008
Whangarei - 30 ahead of Alliance, up from 18 in 2008
Wigram - 31 ahead of Socred, up from 22 in 2008
Hauraki-Waikato - 22 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 7 in 2008
Ikaroa-Rawhiti - 8 ahead of Alliance and Socred, up from 4 in 2008
Tamaki-Makaurau - 3 ahead of Alliance, up from 2 in 2008
Te Tai Hauauru - 3 ahead of Alliance, up from 1 in 2008
Te Tai Tokerau - 14 ahead of Alliance, Socred and United Future, up from 5 in 2008
Te Tai Tonga - 3, down from 4 in 2008
Waiariki - 2 ahead of Socred, down from 4 in 2008

26 November 2011

New Zealand election live blogging 1055GMT

Party vote summaries... in a Parliament of 121

Parties in Parliament

National rise from 44.93% in 2008 to 47.99% tonight 2 seat gain overall to 60.  Pleasing but disappointing compared to the polls.

Labour drop from 33.99% to 27.13% tonight 9 seat loss to 34. Gutting result, but could have been worse, nothing as bad as National's 2002 result of less than 21%

Greens rise from 6.72%  to 10.62% tonight 4 seat gain to 13.  Very pleasing for the Greens, would have liked more, but will now influence legislation substantially in select committees.

New Zealand first rise from 4.07% to 6.81% tonight. Re-enters Parliament with 8 MPs.  The comeback King, Winston Peters.  Written off constantly by a media which by mentioning him gave him electoral oxygen. 

Maori Party drop from 2.39% to 1.35% tonight.  2 seat loss to 3.  Has to be wary of seeing to support National too much, Maori vote dissipating to Mana and Labour.

ACT drop from 3.65% to 1.07% tonight. 4 seat loss to 1.  Devastating for ACT, much soul searching needed now.  ACT Board will need to decide whether Banks will lead or not.

Mana, first time standing. 1% retain single seat won in previous by-election.  Radical Maori separatist and Marxist vote now has a clear home.

United Future drop from 0.87% to 0.61% single seat retained.  One time significant coalition partner for Labour continuing to be a one man band in Ohariu.

Conclusion?  National will govern with United Future and ACT with a small majority, but will enter into confidence and supply agreement with Maori Party.

Parties outside Parliament

Conservative Party, first time standing. 2.76%.  Very credible result, must try to win NZ First voters over to try to cross the 5% threshold or spend up large in one seat.

Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party Small gain from 0.41% to 0.48%.  Treading water with core supporters

Democrats for Social Credit small gain from 0.05% to 0.07%.  Clearly attracted a few more with the global financial crisis

Libertarianz small gain from 0.05% to 0.07%.  Did Banks turn some ACT voters towards Libz?

Alliance drop from 0.08% to 0.05%.  Far left voter bled to Mana and the Greens


Election 2011 - Live blogging - Libertarians results

Hamilton West - Tim Wikiriwhi (independent) 101 votes, 2nd last. 100% votes counted. Libertarianz 26 ahead of Alliance

Invercargill - Shane Pleasance 122 votes, last. 100% votes counted. Libertarianz 32 votes, ahead of Alliance

Kaikoura - Ian Hayes 115 votes, last. 100% votes counted. Libertarianz 22 votes, ahead of Alliance

Mana - Richard Goode (ALCP) 272 votes, 2nd last (ahead of ACT).  98.1% votes counted. Libertarianz 17 ahead of Alliance and Socred.  (ALCP 128 votes above Libz, Alliance, Socred)

Northcote - Peter Linton 60 votes, last.  100% votes counted.  Libertarianz 32 votes ahead of Alliance and Socred

Ohariu- Sean Fitzpatrick 96 votes.. 100% votes counted. Libertarianz 45 votes ahead of Alliance and Socred

Tamaki - Stephen Berry (independent) 139 votes. 100% votes counted.  22 votes ahead of Alliance and Socred

Wairarapa - Richard McGrath (Party Leader) 621 votes! ahead of ACT. 100% votes counted. 85 votes ahead of Alliance, Socred and Mana

Waitakere - Peter Osborne 44 votes. 98.1% votes counted.  25 votes ahead of Alliance and Socred

Wellington Central - Reagan Cutting  53 votes. 100% votes counted. 9th place (4th from bottom).  31 votes ahead of Alliance and Socred

Whangarei - Helen Hughes 93 votes. 100% votes counted. 30 votes ahead of Alliance.

Total party vote 1402, 30 short of Socred.  Improvement on 1176 in 2008.


New Zealand election live blogging 0945GMT

So the Nats will need Peter Dunne and John Banks to govern, that's fairly easy.   Dunne will want nothing other than his bureaucracy isn't closed,  Banks will want what exactly?

The Nats will negotiate an agreement with the Maori Party just to be sure, but beyond that it is insurance for the future.  The Maori Party would be critical in the following election, but its relationship with National has been costly in losing votes and two seats.

The Greens have their best ever result, as Labour voters went to the left, the Greens campaigned very cleverly and the media was complicit in giving them an easy ride.

NZ First re-emerges as the media Winston hates gave him the oxygen of publicity by treating him as an outcast, playing into his hands.  

Both the Greens and NZ First will bring new barely competent nobodies to Parliament, none of whom will face having to prove themselves in government.

ACT is virtually finished - the Banks strategy failed, miserably.  Don Brash could have campaigned much better, but this was a disaster because the Banks strategy split its support base and saw a massive distraction in Epsom.

The Mana Party is Hone, but he took votes from the Maori Party and so has reduced the overhang to one, helping the Nats.

Three more years of the same, with new conservative National MPs, and the middle muddle ground of mediocrity winning the day.  The victories are with boring no change National, radical Greens and the bigoted xenophobic populist NZ First.

Oh and you've kept MMP, the left will be thrilled, for despite all of the above, over 45% of the vote was for much more government.

The real fight for hearts and minds is far from won.

New Zealand election live blogging 0900GMT

A pattern has emerged in New Zealand elections.

If voters perceive a foregone conclusion for the major parties, voters for the second placed party desert it for others.  The Greens and NZ First have taken the soft headed voters on the left and the bigoted working class voters on the right.  Both will get hit when Labour improves next time.

Yet Labour hasn't experienced the rout that National did in 2002, not by a mile.  This result is akin to 1996, but it wont be enough to save Phil Goff

Largest silent winner is the Conservative Party, a credible 2.8% of the vote but no seats

ACT faces immediate infighting, John Banks wont be made leader although he'll expect to be.  That will kill the party

United Future is slowly dying, but Peter Dunne is hanging on.

Mana Party might just be Hone, it would be a travesty if Annette Sykes has a platform for her vileness.

However, the biggest joke has to be how MMP has delivered 13 Green MPs and 9 NZ First MPs.

National may lose West-Coast Tasman to Labour, but pick up two Christchurch seats.

Yet a small note of victory for Libertarianz, an increase in party votes.

New Zealand election live blogging (Libertarians results)

Hamilton West - Tim Wikiriwhi (independent) 38 votes,  second last.  Libertarianz (which he wasn't fighting for directly) with 10 votes, double that of the Alliance

Invercargill - Shane Pleasance a credible 95 votes, last. Libertarianz 25 votes neck and neck with the Alliance

Kaikoura - Ian Hayes 50 votes, last, Libertarianz 12 ahead of the Alliance

Mana - Richard Goode (ALCP) 103 votes ahead of ACT.  Libertarianz 5 ahead of Alliance and Socred

North Shore - Michael Murphy 40 votes, last. Libertarianz 13 votes, ahead of Alliance and Socred

Northcote - Peter Linton 25 votes, last. Libertarianz 14 votes ahead of Alliance and Socred

Ohariu - Sean Fitzpatrick 48 votes, last. Libertarianz 26 votes, ahead of Alliance, Socred and Mana

Tamaki - Stephen Berry (independent) 57 votes, last.  Libertarianz 2 votes ahead of Socred (!)

Wairarapa - Richard McGrath 402 votes, ahead of ACT.  Libertarianz 65 votes ahead of Alliance, Socred and Mana

Waitakere - Peter Osborne 8 votes, last.  Libertarianz 3 votes, ahead Alliance , Scored

Wellington Central - Reagan Cutting 16 votes 2nd last equal.  Libertarianz 6 votes, ahead of Socred

Whangarei - Helen Hughes 47 votes, last.  Libertarianz  13 votes, ahead of Alliance

overall? 816 votes with 60% counted, definitely an improvement on 2008

New Zealand election live blogging 0800GMT

National looking like its dream result, but it is early.  Reminds me of 2005, when it looked good, but slid behind when big Auckland booths were counted.

Labour will be searching for a new leader.  However picking up Te Tai Tonga reduces the overhang by one, which is good for National

Greens will be pleased they'll have a big caucus

NZ First looks like sliding in, but it is early to say.  Blame the media for loving him for controversy.

Conservatives a credible 2.7%

Maori Party has lost around 40% of its party vote to Mana

Key issue will be whether Mana gets enough party votes to justify a second seat - let's hope Annette Sykes is kept out, she is well behind in Waiariki

Peter Dunne and John Bank both look like they have Ohariu and Epsom respectively, but early for both

50% of Wairarapa counted and Richard McGrath has pulled in more electorate votes than the ACT candidate with 298 votes and 48 party votes - between Maori and Mana

New Zealand election - live 0745 GMT

So I have finally woken up.   TVNZ  and RNZ both coming through strong.

This looks like Labour's 2002, 25% is dire, almost as bad as National in 2002.

NZ First re-emerges, blame the media for giving him the auction of publicity.  As David Farrar has said, why didn't the Conservative Party get the same?

Big focus is the Maori seats with our separatist racist candidate Hone looking like taking his seat, if so he may be on the cusp of bringing in the 9/11 cheerleader Annette Sykes.

Coromandel has Catherine moonbeam Delahunty third, ouch for Labour.

Peter Dunne must be worried in Ohariu

Long list of Labour seats at risk, Palmerston North very narrow for Labour


New Zealand election live blogging

Having written my guides to voting (they are the most popular posts), and noting Not PC's excellent rival guide, the time for politicking is over.  A few million people will be making some ticks to choose people to govern them.  I did my special vote days ago at the New Zealand High Commission at Haymarket, London.

I will be blogging and tweeting live about the election when results start appearing - as I listen/watch NZ media from London.

I secretly like psephology so I will find it a fun way to spend a chilly Saturday morning in London.  I can combine it with having a drink everytime someone I like wins, and be sure I will remain sober the rest of the day.   Politics at election time is extremely hard work for those who do it, but don't empathise with them.  Bob Jones once wrote how he refused to talk at a "leadership forum" for young people, on the grounds that the last thing he wanted to encourage was people to lead others, and that New Zealand's problems at the time (early 1980s) were in large part due to a man who epitomised that.  Politicians have been working hard to gain power.  Most of you work hard to earn a crust.  I know which group I have more time for.

Yet, despite what you might think of any of the parties and politicians, today there are thousands of Syrians fighting with their lives, many in prison, some being tortured, trying to evict a 41 year old hereditary one-party dictatorship. Too many take for granted their right to live their lives in relative peace and freedom the way they wish. Saturday is your chance to say whether you agree with the current lot or want the government to do more or less, in different shades and you don't face the army aiming guns at you for your views (or the secret police rounding you up to a rally to cheer the thugs on).

I spent a week in a totalitarian state last year (no, not China), seeing and meeting people who all lived in constant fear of saying the wrong thing or doing the wrong thing - value the freedom you have, for only when you don't have it, do you realise how precious it really is.

25 November 2011

You don't have to vote if you don't know what party to choose

It is typical for politicians and political activists to make general calls for everyone to make sure that they vote, and that democracy was fought for by our forefathers etc etc, so it is really important everyone votes.

I disagree. 

New Zealand has a political freedom Australians don’t have. It’s not compulsory to vote. This in itself is quite precious. I have already indicated that there are several electorates where I don’t think there is a single candidate standing who either supports my point of view or is even better than the worst ones on the ballot paper. I don’t subscribe to the “don’t vote, it only encourages the bastards” view entirely, but in some cases it is true. It would be telling if the turnout in some electorates was so low (e.g. Nelson) that the mandate for the winning candidate would be questionable. 

You see I don’t have a high regard for democracy per se (although I support it as a way of choosing politicians), I don’t value your vote if you are opposed to what I support. Obviously if you want to vote Libertarianz, ACT (excluding candidates who are anti-freedom) or Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party, then get off your arses and do so. Freedom isn’t free you know. However, the rest of you I'm indifferent about who you vote for. I didn't notice much difference with John Key replacing Helen Clark, except Helen Clark actually believed in telling us all what to do. 

If you disagree with me, I don’t want you to turn out to tick Labour, Greens, Mana, Maori or whatever else that endorses initiating more force against me and other New Zealanders, spending more of my money or borrowing more in my name. If you wondering whether to bother going out to vote for one of those parties then don’t bother getting dressed, just lie in bed. In fact, make sure you drink very very heavily on Friday night, have a great time. Alcohol will improve your judgment. In fact by lying in bed and being unproductive you’ll be endorsing in your own way the philosophy of the parties on the left, who celebrate the actions of those who are least active, least productive and least successful, whilst demanding the greatest effort, time, money and dedication from the most able, active and successful.  That's why the fact 200,000 of you can't be arsed to be enrolled, doesn't bother me, their opinions don't interest me, since they are uninterested.

So if you don’t know whether to bother voting and if you’d bother you’d vote for any party other than Libertarianz, ACT or the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party, then stop stressing. Don’t vote. That leaves two categories of voters left. The completely apathetic (those who are uninterested) and those who want to vote, but have absolutely no idea who to vote for. 

To the apathetic, by whom I mean those who don’t care about what happens, not those who are philosophically anarchists and reject elected democracy. I presume you’re going to leave your home sometime today. Think a little about this. Around 40% of all of the activities in New Zealand are undertaken by government. You pay for that. Your income and everything you buy helps to pay for it. Government tells you what to do and what you shouldn’t do, and you apparently don’t give a damn what it does to you or anyone else. Maybe the government does a lot for you, maybe it houses you, provides you money to feed and clothe you, maybe it pays for your kids’ education, maybe it pays for when you go into A&E after you’ve had a silly accident. If you don’t give a damn, then maybe you are the sort of person for whom some politicians dream of – the person who wants to be looked after, told what to do, told what to think, paid other people’s money and to be entirely reliant on others. Like a child, free to play and indulge your whims, whilst other people parent you – except your parent is the government. If that is you, you’re pathetic. You can’t be bothered to even choose the party who will be your new surrogate parents and rule makers. You don’t care what happens to all those services you depend upon. You may as well not have grown up. You don’t deserve to be a parent because you can’t even look after yourself. You don’t deserve a driving licence because you can’t be trusted to know where to go, or to make decisions on your own. In fact, why doesn’t someone else do your shopping? Does that get your attention? 

Well if you disagree with me. If you insist I have painted you wrong, then prove me wrong. Vote for a party that doesn’t believe adults should be dependent on the state, which believes that adults can run their own lives, keep the proceeds of their labours and efforts, and deal with others on the basis of voluntary interaction. Prove to yourself, your kids and others that you don’t want to be seen as needing looked after in some patronising way by John Key, Phil Goff or the Norman Turei Group. 

Forget the electorate vote if you can’t decide, but vote Libertarianz. 

To those who don’t know who to vote for, then ask yourself this. In your day to day life do you feel like you’re competent enough to decide how to spend your own money, how to live your life, who to interact with, on what terms and to choose who you help, who you ask for help from and what to put into your body? Do you like politicians borrowing money on your behalf to pay for things you didn’t ask for? Do you like politicians deeming certain groups or companies to have extra privileges in consultation, or in getting taxpayers’ money? Do you think your life is better off with politicians doing more for you and asking more of you, than if they did less and expected less from you in return? Do you believe you own your life and you find most politicians to be patronising, insulting, lying and concealing bastards?

If so, there are three parties on the ballot in this election for the party vote that believe in less government. If all that matters to you is legalising cannabis, then the choice is obvious. If it is about more, then you have two choices. Each has an advantage and a disadvantage. 

Vote Libertarianz if you want to support a principled and consistent stand for less government, more freedom across all spheres of life, and to advocate less taxation, less regulation, the right to private property, the right to self defence, a small racially colourblind government, and to support all adult interaction becoming voluntary. However, voting Libertarianz has one obvious disadvantage. We all know that given current polling, there is very little chance Libertarianz votes will result in a Libertarianz MP getting elected. As a result, many libertarians will vote for the alternative. ACT. 

The sole advantage of ACT is that it has a reasonable chance of electing MPs, although it is dependent on the very not libertarian John Banks being elected in Epsom. Herein lies the disadvantage. You can vote for ACT on the basis of supporting Don Brash and his own, personal, belief in more freedom and less government, and because some of the ACT list also endorse this. However, you will do so knowing ACT is not as consistent in its policies as Libertarianz and it carries John Banks with it, knowing he is the key to ACT being in Parliament. Up to you if you think John Banks will be a reliable carrier of the banner of less government, more freedom and fiscal prudence. I don't, but others whose views I give credence to think it is a price worth taking a risk for. So that’s it. 

Vote Libertarianz, ACT or ALCP for your party vote, knowing full well one of those parties has the strongest chance of getting elected, but the price of that is its dependence on a socially conservative fiscally profligate ex. National Party MP. My own distant hope is Don Brash suddenly picks up North Shore, rendering the Epsom silliness redundant. 

If you’re not voting for any of them, then maybe get drunk this Friday night and stay in bed all day Saturday. You’ll be doing millions of New Zealanders the world of good in your own small way.

I don't believe people should be forced to vote, or feel they have to vote, when they don't have a clue what to do, or what it is all about. They have that right, and frankly such people are less of a threat to me and others than the enthusiastic handmaidens of the statists who are hustling hundreds of thousands in fervent joy to vote for people who will tell them what to do. Airheads who don't vote are a lot safer than airheads who do.

24 November 2011

Why do the Greens get such an easy ride? Part Two - 50 questions that should have been asked of the Greens

As I wrote previously, it appears the Greens are having a media honeymoon.  However, is this justified?  Do the Greens not have policies that could be seen as controversial?  Do their MPs not make statements that deserve further scrutiny?

Well I have composed a long list of questions I think journalists should ask, and more importantly questions YOU should ask your local Green candidate, especially if you are thinking about voting Green.   You may wonder if the Greens are quite so cuddly and inoffensive as the media makes them out to be.

So here it is - 50 questions to ask the Green Party (and one light-hearted one at the end)
My only other question is, why hasn't anyone else been asking them?...

Does your Treaty of Waitangi policy that “All claimants to have the opportunity to have their land and resources returned to them” include claims of private land?  If not, why is that not clear?

Do the Greens still believe Sue Kedgley’s claim that it is wrong to “shift responsibility for health and improving diets from the state to society and to convince people that public health is all about personal responsibility"?  If so, how do see the state leading responsibility for people changing their diets, how would the state adequately replace personal responsibility?

What are “all reasonable steps to prevent immigration numbers and the sale of land to rich immigrants from having an adverse impact on Aotearoa/NZ and its Taonga.”?  How can they have an adverse impact?  What is a rich immigrant?  What will an immigrant do to land than a locally born New Zealander wouldn't? 

How does the Green Party plan to implement its policy to ”Minimise exposure to electromagnetic radiation especially for children and pregnant women”?  How many TV and radio stations would you shut down?  Will you want to close wifi networks at schools and home?  Will you demand children and pregnant women not use laptops, TVs or any other electrical appliance?  Will you demand all homes with children and pregnant women to be outside mobile phone coverage?  Does the party understand how pervasive EMR is and has been for decades?  Does it understand that visible light is electromagnetic radication, and if not, how can anyone trust the Greens on science in other fields?

Do the Greens still believe it is ok to frighten people about non-ionising radiation from mobile phone towers, despite the complete absence of evidence about negative health effects? Is it appropriate for the leader of a major political party to engage in name calling when someone calls him out on not scaremongering Radio NZ transmitter sites, which emit more of the same type of radiation and have done so for decades?

Do the Greens still believe there is a media conspiracy against them on this issue because telcos advertise in the media? What evidence do they have of this?  Could it just be that your science is extremely flimsy and the media refuses to engage with such ignorance?

Do the Greens trust potatoes still, or do they stand by Jeanette Fitzsimon’s press release of 1999 that it was then "the last Xmas when you could trust potatoes"?  Wasn’t all of the fuss over genetic engineering in 2002 just scaremongering?  How many people have been killed, hurt or harmed by genetic engineering anywhere in the world? 

What do the Greens mean about  “Recognise ancestral land ownership in rural areas” for Maori?  Why shouldn’t private land owners in rural areas be worried?  What will you stop them doing?  What isn't recognised now?

What did Catherine Delahunty mean when she said that the Pakeha nation is "racist"?  Does she stand by her use of the term “genocidal spindoctors” to describe National Party speechwriters in 2005?  Does she stand by her hope that Maori will be the largest cultural grouping in New Zealand by the late 21st century?  Is this also Green policy?  Why is it that other parties don't care about the ethnic composition of the country?

When Catherine Delahunty saidWe have plenty of beaten women; gutted communities and whanau living in state housing that have never had proper electricity or water supplies. But lots of Pakeha are drinking wine and surfing, and they say so loudly without saying a word, would you please shut up about the connection between racism and poverty” is she blaming Pakeha for Maori women being beaten up?  Why are Pakeha who drink wine and surf to blame for beaten women?

Do the Greens agree with Catherine Delahunty when she describes Pakeha as having "colonial privilege" even if they were born in New Zealand?  At what point can Pakeha be described by Catherine Delahunty as being equal to Maori as New Zealand citizens with equal rights, if ever?  Do you think Pakeha voters of the Greens know that you believe that?

Do the Greens agree with Kennedy Graham when he saidThe political rights we enjoy today are to be calibrated by the responsibility we carry for tomorrow.”?  What political rights does he think should be “calibrated” and what does he mean by that?  When he said “Individual freedoms are no longer unlicensed, but henceforth subordinate to the twin principles of survival and sustainable living”, what freedoms do the Greens want to “licence”?  What individual freedoms must be subordinate?

Don’t the Greens think Kennedy Graham flying to London to discuss climate change at taxpayers’ expense is remarkably hypocritical?  How many more long haul flights will Green MPs seek to undertake to support fighting climate change and why?

Does the Green Party still share the view of Sue Kedgley that “We need to challenge the doctrine of free trade and accept that people's right to food, to be free from hunger, must have priority over an ideological fixation on allowing market forces to prevail at all costs” so abandoning New Zealand’s long standing bi-partisan trade policy goal of opening up markets to its agricultural products?  Does it share her view supporting the official French policy to effectively continue the EU’s highly subsidised highly protectionist Common Agricultural Policy?  Does it believe that free trade actually really means highly subsidising exports?  If so, why? What future do the Greens see in New Zealand's farming sector if farmers face a world that is protectionist, subsidised and engaging in "food sovereignty" policies?  

Why is it good value for taxpayers to have spent $1.3 billion on a railway that private companies would only have paid a quarter of that for?  Why do you think the private sector hasn't bothered investing in it, despite you being convinced of "peak oil" and that the end of mass use of the private car and road transport is nigh?

Do the Greens still think that it was appropriate to blame the Brisbane floods on climate change linked to the coal exported from Queensland, as if Queensland was getting its just desserts?

How do the Greens think that making membership of student unions voluntary “takes away choices?  Isn’t it the exact opposite?  Would you think differently of student unions if they had been  hot beds of free market capitalist and pro-entrepreneurial activism?  Doesn't this make you claims about believing in human rights superficial?

The Greens want to force electricity companies to generate a proportion of their power from expensive renewable sources.  In the UK a similar policy is estimated to be putting up prices by an average of 50% in real terms by 2020, with a fully privatised sector. How much will this policy of renewables put up power prices to New Zealanders? 

When Metiria Turei says “We need to get smokes out of our homes and out of our shopswhat will you do to achieve this? Do you really want to stop the sale of tobacco products altogether? Why don’t you have the same attitude towards marijuana?  Why don’t you think tobacco smokers should be left alone? 

Do the Greens still believe Don Brash wants to smash Maori culture and force women to be subservient?  Do you have any evidence for such exagerrated claims?

How will the Greens “Support equitable access for Māori to secure employment and decent wages”? How do Maori not have equitable access?  Who is stopping them? 

Do you think Maori can be racist? Why do you think people of Maori descent should be given different political structures from those of other citizens? Why do you think this should be constitutionally entrenched?  Why should the accident of your birth determine how the state interacts with or consults with you?


What examples do the Greens have of “unnecessary production and consumption”, and how do they propose to curb them?  Will this mean banning the production and sale of certain goods?  If so, what ones?

What products will be banned when the Greens implement their policy to  “Require domestic and imported products to be durable and recyclable”? Does this mean every producer of goods that are neither will be regulated out of business?  Does this mean no New Zealander could import a product that is neither durable nor recyclable?  Doesn't this ban anything perishable?

What exactly is "hugely harmful" to the public in private companies being contracted by local government to manage water services?  Where in the world has this proven to be the case?

Does the Green party still believe all of the Cuban government’s claims that its health care system is fantastic?  Is it in the habit of believing the official reports of one party states that imprison political dissidents as mental patients?  Why is Cuba exempt from the sort of scrutiny on human rights that the Greens apply to China or Burma?

Why do the Greens think parental choice of schools is a myth?  Why do they think the state always knows what’s best in education?

When you want to “Ensure all new houses and buildings fully comply with disability access requirements unless specifically exempted.  Will this mean anyone building a house on a hill about a road having to build a ramp or lift unless they get a special exemption from a bureaucracy?  Wont this make it prohibitively expensive to build homes anywhere that isn't on flat land adjacent to a road?  Wont this just increase the price of homes and reduce the supply?

When the Greens want to regulate broadcasting and the press with an authority that will “have the power to impose appropriate sanctions against media outlets in cases where it can be clearly demonstrated that it has exhibited wilful or negligent abuse of power and by doing so has either visited material harm on another party or pursued its own self-interest at the expense of the public interest.”, what examples of the media pursuing its own self interest do they have in mind? Doesn’t this mean introducing newspaper censorship in New Zealand for the first time in decades?

Why do the Greens fear foreign investment?  Do you share this fear of New Zealanders owning land and businesses in other countries, if not why not?  Why do you want to welcome refugees and migrants from all and sundry, but if anyone from another country wants to own a business, you treat them like the devil?

More specifically, what was the security threat posed by a Canadian company buying a New Zealand airport?  Should the British government be fearful that New Zealand company Infratil owns Prestwick Airport near Glasgow for the same reasons?

The Greens repeatedly criticise the trade choices made by New Zealanders in such banal terms as “swapping water with China”.  What exports do the Greens want stopped? What imports do they want stopped? Why do they think they know best what people should sell and buy?

Does the party’s support for taxpayer funding of the voluntary sector not make it the state sector?  Why should taxpayers be forced to support political advocacy groups?

What are the implications of “Requiring the inclusion of environmental science and ethics in all study programs.” involving science education?  Why is this relevant to physics for example?

What does “Support legislation that increases the reliability of the Internet” mean?  How do the Greens propose improving the reliability of a disaggregated global network by a law passed in New Zealand?  Can you pass laws to fix most problems?


How many other traffic laws do the Greens endorse breaking besides walking on a motorway?



Does Russel Norman stick to his belief that the London riots were caused by poverty, not opportunistic criminals seeking designer goods and electronics?

Do the Greens support the view of their blogger “Toad” that democracy doesn’t have to be secular, or liberal, and that it’s “ok” if democracies start a war if the people support it?  In which case, would the Greens support a Christian theocratic state that sent troops to Iran if it was democratically elected?

If the Greens think there should be fruit in schools, why don’t they set up a charity to raise money for it?  In fact, why don’t they ever advocate people raise money themselves voluntarily rather than make taxpayers pay?

When you expect that “significant time for environmental education” will be included in the teacher training curriculum, what should be excluded from the curriculum to allow for this?

Why do you think small business owners should be criminalised because they want to open on a religiously based public holiday?  How do owner-operator shops with no employees exploit people by merely opening their shops for people to choose to enter?


Why do you dismiss electric cars so flippantly, but treat electric trains as being the saviour to all of Auckland’s transport problems?  What proportion of trips in Auckland do you expect will be by train by 2014?

Do the Greens still support a Hamilton-Auckland train service, even though it would be slower than a bus, lose money and the local authorities wont pay for it? 

What’s Green about banning foreign ships that happen to be going from port to port within New Zealand as part of an international voyage, from selling empty space to carry cargo around New Zealand –when the ships would still be sailing regardless?  Isn't that policy just about pleasing militant  maritime unions?

The Greens paint a picture of the environment getting worse,and Russel Norman selectively quotes the Environment 2007 report from the Ministry for the Environment to support stopping road building, even though the report does not say that and provides plenty of facts that are inconvenient such as “Home heating is the main cause of air pollution in populated areas in the winter”  yet the Greens beat up on cars and trucks. The report also said  “Levels of PM10 particulates at roadside locations in Auckland appear to have fallen over the past 10 years”.  Why does a party that purports to be about the environment ignore good news about it?

Do any of you laugh at Catherine Delahunty’s tweets too? Like “Despite the pretty words and new clothes am hoping new puppy at white house will stop killing afghanis and funding Israel wars on Palestine"?

So ask yourself if the Greens DO get around 10% of the vote on Saturday, how much they might have got if a few of those questions had been asked over the campaign, or the past few years, and why the mainstream media seems to have its tongue up the Green Party's proverbial.  Moreover, ask yourself why the National Party hasn't been doing that - is it because it has seen this party as a partner?  If you're planning to vote National, how will you feel if that is exactly what happens?

P.S.  Go here, register instantly and tick an up for this post if you like what you see, it seems the obvious people have been doing the opposite (and I have inspired over 100 comments there).