05 November 2008

0401 GMT: Obama over the threshold

Yep with California, Washington and Oregon all predicted to go to Obama, through exit polls, it is 297 for Obama. McCain picked up Idaho with 4 to go to 139.

Millions are celebrating.

Now will he make it a landslide through the undecided seats?

0359 GMT: The waiting continues

Yes it is literally all over, bar the counting, but Obama still isn't over the hurdle. Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida remain too close to call. That is the difference between the landslide and just victory.

McCain has virtually no chance to recover, but he could make it a close race.

Since 0330 GMT Virginia has gone to Obama with 13 projected.
Obama 220
McCain 135

Senate - D 52, R 38, independents (pro D) 2
House - D 171 R 111 (9 R>D)

Popular vote - 51% Obama, 48% McCain. At least that is showing a decent gap.

0330 GMT: Still no landslide

Iowa for Obama with 7 electoral votes is another switch from the Republicans in 2004, no doubt because Obama backed agricultural subsidies!

Texas, Mississippi, Kansas, Arkansas, Utah for McCain with 34, 6,6,6 and 5 respectively. All solid Republican states.

Popular vote is still 49% McCain, 50% Obama. Again, hardly a landslide.

Obama 207
McCain 135

Senate- 52 D, 36 R, 2 independents for Democrats (4 go from R to D)
House- 149 D, 91 R (218 for majority) (9 go from R to D)

Obama should win, given projections for Ohio, New Mexico and Iowa for him. However, I didn't think I'd need to be waiting up this long to get the result.

It remains painfully close in many states.

0300 GMT - Obama on the cusp of victory

Obama now adds Ohio, New Mexico as projected wins, 20 and 5 respectively to hit 199. However, both are still with less than half the vote counted. However, if it goes through these are the first two states to fall from the Republicans, should mean an Obama victory.

McCain adds Louisiana with 9 to hit 78

Senate - projected 50 Democrat, 36 Republican, 2 independents (pro Democrat). Democrats will be happy.
House - projected 103 Democrat, 68 Republican. Long way to go yet.

The only ballot declared so far is Massachusetts - on abolishing state income tax - 69% no, with 44% declared.

0230 GMT - McCain needs Florida and Ohio

McCain must be worried about North Carolina, which remains slightly ahead for Obama with 39% of the vote. Ohio, Virginia and Indiana are too close to call. McCain needs them all.

CNN says:

Obama 174
McCain 69

Obama has:
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, DC, New York, Pennsylvania.

McCain has:
Kentucky, South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, West Virginia, Oklahoma, Wyoming, North Dakota.

BBC is calling Ohio for Obama, which if true will be the breaking point for McCain.