Friday, November 07, 2008

My prediction for what it's worth

Party name Party Votes won Party seat entitlement No. of electorate seats won No. of list MPs Total MPs
% of MPs
Act New Zealand 3.20% 4 1 3 4
3.33%
The Greens 7.30% 9 0 9 9
7.50%
Jim Anderton's Progressive 0.70% 1 1 0 1
0.83%
Māori Party 2.90% 4 4 0 4
3.33%
New Zealand Labour Party 35.30% 45 25 20 45
37.50%
New Zealand National Party 44.70% 56 38 18 56
46.67%
United Future New Zealand 0.90% 1 1 0 1
0.83%
Totals 95.00% 120 70 50 120
100.00%

Simple points:

National's support overrated, Labour's underrated. Previous elections have demonstrated this time and time again. ACT also underrated. Greens a little overrated, a bad economy does not make people that Green oriented. Maori Party has peaked somewhat, more likely to get more party votes which isn't going to help it. Dunne and Anderton both shrinking single man acts. NZ First gone and Libz? Substantially better than last time.

3 comments:

Crampton said...

Trading on iPredict based on this? You should be...

Madeleine said...

Nice prediction. Hope its on the button, especially the Libz result.

Now I really must protest, we link to you, you don't link to us? Why?

:-)

libertyscott said...

Ahh laziness, I'll remedy it today.